LIVE FX Patrol
Academy · Recruit Briefing #15 · 6 min read

🧭 Reading the FX Patrol Dashboard

How to actually use the product you've signed up for

🎯 By the end of this briefing, you'll be able to
  • Read every field on a bias card and know what it means
  • Tell a high-confidence bias from a low-confidence one
  • Know when to ignore the dashboard's view

Everything you've learned in the Beginner tier — value, GDP, inflation, rates, risk, themes — gets *applied* on this dashboard. This briefing walks you through every element of a bias card so the rest of the engine makes sense.

The bias card, field by field

Direction: LONG / SHORT / NEUTRAL. Conviction: 0-1 score, calibrated against historical accuracy. Pillars: the 3-5 reasons the bias exists, each labelled confirmed / intact / weakened. Kill switches: events that would flip the bias. Why?: the news that drove it.

Calibration is the honesty layer

Conviction 0.8 doesn't mean '80% sure'. It means '*at this conviction level, historically the dashboard has been right ~X% of the time*' — that X is shown on the card. If the historical hit rate at 0.8 conviction is only 55%, you know the engine is overconfident on this conviction band.

High-trust bias

Conviction matches historical hit rate. Pillars all confirmed. Kill switches haven't triggered. Aligns with CoT positioning. Direction has been stable for days.

Low-trust bias

Conviction overshooting historical hit rate. Pillars showing weakened. Recent flip-flops on direction. Fights CoT or risk regime. Per-pair track record poor.

🤔 Quick check

A bias shows conviction 0.85 with historical hit rate at 0.85 of only 52%. How should you read this?

📌 Recap
🎯 Final Debrief

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